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Premier League Betting Edge - Advantage Ratings, Logic and Modeling for the EPL

English Premier League soccer betting projections, analysis, and picks using advanced soccer ratings and data. The show reviews the top predictive English Premier League probability models. The predictive models used to gain a betting edge are from CDSA, Bing,Five Thirty Eight sports and Bet Devil. The podcast also looks at English Premier League team performance vs. the betting market.
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Premier League Betting Edge - Advantage Ratings, Logic and Modeling for the EPL
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Now displaying: Page 1
Nov 27, 2019

The guys are in a festive mood as they deal out the CDS top play of the MW14 EPL card and a likely anytime goal scorer with value.

The OP is from the Wolves v. Sheffield United match.  This match projection is based on the detailed and structured data contained in the CDS EPL model.

Player and team strengths and weaknesses are discussed as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game.

Nov 22, 2019

On this weeks podcast, Riley brings out his advanced stats bazooka as he reviews an official play and deals out a tasty goal scorer at +300.

The OP is from the Palace v. Liverpool match.  This match projection is based on the detailed and structured data contained in the CDS EPL model.

Player and team strengths and weaknesses are discussed as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game.

Plus a big bonus anytime goal scorer!

 

Nov 8, 2019

On this weeks podcast, the guys review an official play from the Burnley v. West Ham match.  This match projection is based on the detailed and structured data contained in the CDS EPL model and is discussed by Lead Soccer Handicapper, Riley Wichmann.

You can choose roll the dice and take the chance you will be "burned by Burnley", or you can learn about how the Burnley side and West Ham opponent shape up for this MW12 duel.

Certain player and team strengths and weaknesses are discussed as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game.

Plus a big bonus future play!

Mark the Basewinner hosts. He discusses the weekly three headed parlay from the Burnley v. Hammer game that has a potential payoff of 6.25 to 1.

Oct 31, 2019

Projections and analysis for this weekend's EPL matches based on detailed and structured data analysis from CDS Lead Soccer Handicapper, Riley Wichmann.

For Matchweek 11, Everton and Tottenham are profiled by Riley. An official CDS play in this game is given out that has 10% model value.

You can learn about the Everton and Tottenham team and player strengths and weaknesses as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections that the model churns out for this game.

Mark Borchard hosts and discusses the weekly three headed parlay. He is chatty and jovial this week in his discussion of the parlay in the Everton game. The three headed parlay has a potential payout of 19-1.

Oct 23, 2019

Projections and analysis for this weekend's EPL matches based on detailed and structured data analysis from CDS Lead Soccer Handicapper Riley Wichmann.

For Matchweek 10, Watford and Bournemouth are profiled by Riley. An official CDS play in this game is given out that has over 12% model value.

You can learn about EPL teams weekly as Riley summarizes the output of the CDS ratings and betting projections the model churns out.

Mark Borchard hosts and discusses the weekly three headed parlay. This week, the parlay in the Watford v. Bournemouth match has a potential payout of 13-1.

Oct 17, 2019

Two Matchweek 9 games are broken down in depth and both have very good value according to our models.

Riley takes a look at key numbers in the Everton v. West Ham match then he points out good reasons why a certain bet has value in the Palace v. City game. 

The guys also give you a 3 headed parlay in the Everton v. West Ham  game that will pay out a generous 14-1.

Oct 4, 2019

If you are looking for a valuable play in the EPL this weekend, we have one for you on this podcast. Riley dissects the Southampton v. Chelsea match and gives you some very relevant numbers to help you with your betting decisions.

The guys also give you a 3 headed parlay in the City game that will pay out a nice +288.

Sep 26, 2019

If you are a total's player looking for a bonanza, this podcast is for you.

Riley gives you a comprehensive look at Wolves v. Watford and digs into the depths of the CDS model to make his case. Then, BaseWinner gives you a "clever" 3-headed parlay that will pay 36-1.

The second full game the guys look at is between LCFC and Newcastle and the you get the "total lowdown" in this one.

The guys also bring you the podcast's new bonus segment "to score or not to score" for two games on the card.

 

Sep 20, 2019

On this week's episode, the guys review two games and Riley dives deep into the numbers. Get your weekend started early with Southampton v. Bournemouth on Friday then get the edge for Sunday's West Ham v. ManU match.

Riley deals em out and both these plays have nice value.

The podcast also features a bonus 5-1 three headed parlay and "to score or not to score" plays.

Sep 13, 2019

On this week's episode, the guys review two games and Riley brings his statistical flamethrower. One game on Saturday, Man U v. Leicester City and one on Sunday, Watford v Arsenal.

Riley deals out a total and a pk play. Both these plays have good value and will give you a good chance to get your weekend started off right.

The podcast features two official plays plus a 12-1 three headed parlay.

Aug 29, 2019

On this week's episode, the guys review two games. Both games are Saturday matches. West Ham v Norwich and Chelsea v Sheffield United.

Riley gets exotic as he deals a goal scorer and an Asian handicap play. Both these plays have double digit value and will give you a good chance to get your weekend started off right.

The podcast features two official plays plus a 7.25-1 three headed parlay.

Aug 21, 2019

This weekend, Riley goes solo and tackles the prime time Tottenham v. Newcastle match on Sunday. 

The pod features one official play with double digit edge!

Aug 16, 2019

On this week's episode, the guys review two games. The Saturday match between Aston Villa and Bournemouth and the Sunday match between Sheffield United and Crystal Palace. How is the CDS team going to set you up for these?

The podcast features two official plays + a 19-1 three headed parlay with a 6% betting edge.

More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Aug 9, 2019

On this week's episode, the guys feature the Sunday match between Newcastle and Arsenal. How is the CDS team going to set you up for this one?

Riley brings it with his analysis and shows you some new features inside the model. He gives you two official plays as a gift to start the new season + an 18-1 three headed parlay.

More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Aug 7, 2019

Riley and the EPL Model are back for the new EPL Season! We are looking to improve on our 32+ unit season from last year and have made some nice additions to our predictive models.

Basewinner hosts and Riley gives you a sneak preview inside the CDS models as he goes deep into 4 strong future projections.

Learn about our 10,000 game season simulation from Mr. Riley, the Prince of Monte Carlo simulations himself.

You can't find these soccer metrics, player ratings, projections or models anywhere else. Enjoy the analysis as Riley gets you really ready for the new season!

Jun 1, 2019

Basewinner hosts the final podcast of the season and Riley answers the big question, Should we hedge our Liverpool futures ticket?

Also, Riley's full take on the game, the model's probabilities and a look at our goal scorer ticket status.

Riley brings passion to this one as he breaks down the biggest game of the season.

 

May 11, 2019

On this week's episode, the guys look at some sneaky value in London. How is the CDS team gonna set you up for the Spurs v. Everton match?

Riley brings it with analysis for the final week of the season.  The guys also talk about this magical season, the model and the CDS off season approach for the 2019-20 EPL season.

Also on the pod, there is good Champions league talk. The guys touch upon the Clear Data UCL finals strategy as we move into this match with an 8-1 Liverpool ticket in our pocket.

More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com

May 3, 2019

On this week's episode, the guys go deep into the Man City v. Leicester game and two official plays are talked about.

As usual, the podcast includes Riley's great analysis and stat gems from Mark.  However, Riley drops what could be the best joke of the year and it initially goes way over Mark's head. 

More great soccer analysis at: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Apr 26, 2019

On this week's episode, Riley gives in depth analysis on two matches including a double play on the Newcastle v. Brighton match. 

Riley also picks out a 19% edge play on Leicester, and goes deep into the models ratings behind the selection.

Finally, Riley discusses some small tweaks in the model in preparation for the final few weeks of the EPL season. 

Overall, there are a total of 9 plays on the card, including two double plays, in what should be a wild matchweek 36. 

 

Apr 18, 2019

On this week's episode, two Matchweek 35 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. This podcast is deep with analysis.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the West Ham v Leicester game. The CDS guys are bullish on the Foxes and they tell you why as they breakdown the metrics for this game. Then, the guys give out a nice three headed parlay in this match as a bonus.

Riley then deals out a gem in the Chelsea v Burnley game that has a 25% value number based on the model.

Plus, with Kane out because of injury, Riley has identified value in the EPL goal scorer market and he uncovers this at the end of the podcast.

If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you.

More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Apr 11, 2019

On this week's episode, two Matchweek 34 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Brighton v Bournemouth game that has value on both of the CDSA models.

Riley then deals out a nice play in the Liverpool v. Chelsea backed again by both models.

The guys also joke about a theoretical model that analyzes games and predicts based on the quality and frequency of Mark's jokes.

If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you.

More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Apr 4, 2019

On this week's episode, the CDSA team dives deep into the Newcastle v. Crystal Palace match and goes over a nice addition to the EPL model.

Strong model vs. line value exists in the aforementioned game for both the side play and with the total projection. If that wasn't enough, the guys identify a three position parlay that has value at 20-1.

Riley then describes the newly minted BAR DATA "model within the model". He talks about the main premise of this addition and how you can use it in your weekly EPL endeavors.

If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you.

More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Mar 29, 2019

On this week's episode, two Matchweek 32 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Fulham v Man City game. Riley identifies a goal scorer bet in this game that has a 27.1% expected value based on Riley's BAR goal scorer model.

Riley then deals out a nice play in the Leicester v. Bournemouth and the guys cap the podcast off with a three headed parlay in this game.

If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you.

More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Mar 15, 2019

On this week's episode, one Matchweek 31 games is analyzed and one official play is revealed.  The EPL card is light this week but the analysis is deep.

Riley dissects the Burnley v. Leicester total. The CDSA totals are 49-23 63.6% YTD and +25 units.

If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you.

More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com

Mar 8, 2019

On this week's episode, two Matchweek 30 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Chelsea v Wolves game. Projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models and Riley goes deep into the total. Mark also pulls out his stat of the week for this one.

Riley then deals out a goal scorer in the S'Hampton v. Tottenham derived from his BAR model and has tremendous value in the market this week.

If you want data driven analysis that will help you make your calls for the upcoming EPL weekend, this podcast is for you.

More info: https://www.cleardatasports.com

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