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Premier League Betting Edge - Advantage Ratings, Logic and Modeling for the EPL

English Premier League soccer betting projections, analysis, and picks using advanced soccer ratings and data. The show reviews the top predictive English Premier League probability models. The predictive models used to gain a betting edge are from CDSA, Bing,Five Thirty Eight sports and Bet Devil. The podcast also looks at English Premier League team performance vs. the betting market.
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Premier League Betting Edge - Advantage Ratings, Logic and Modeling for the EPL
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Now displaying: 2017
Dec 22, 2017

Ho! Ho! Ho! for MW19 as BaseWinner plays Santa and goes over the whole card with the help of expected goals Crunch modeling. The are several nice spots by the numbers on this one.

BW is high on the SHAG model and there are some interesting underlying stats looked at, particularly in the Arsenal v. Liverpool game. 

The Premier League will be in high gear for the Holiday season and team CDSI has you covered. 

Basewinner looks at the per game expected goal split ratings and projections. He also analyzes a four-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the complete 10 game card.

 

 

 

 

Dec 16, 2017

Exciting news for MW18 as BW introduces high powered expected goals probability modeling to uncover an extremely valuable play. He also reveals the first ever EPL "Metrics Mike" special.

The SHAG model is new but has already been improved thanks to the Basewinner's discovery of understat.com. If you haven't heard of understat.com, it is your lucky day.

Basically, Basewinner has been on a stat induced high for the last 4 days as this site will be able to fuel a Crunch style Premier League goal projection with some incredibly valuable shot data. 

As usual, PLBR is loaded with stats, ratings and evaluations and we show you three value plays on the MW18 podcast.

Basewinner looks at the per game expected goal split ratings and projections. He also analyzes a four-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games:

Leicester City v. Crystal Palace 

Manchester City v. Tottenham

West Brom v. Manchester United

The four models are a last 6 goal differential module (G6) and the Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictive models. Also, the top public bet of the week is looked at.

Dec 12, 2017

A quick turnaround to MW17 but the PLBR Podcast has you covered. The MW17 midweek podcast introduces the new SHAG model and is loaded with stats, ratings and evaluations.

We show you three value plays on the MW17 podcast, Shots/Goal conversion splits and model reports and results.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSI ratings and projections. He also analyzes a four-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games:

Huddersfield v. Chelsea 

Swansea City v. Manchester City

Liverpool v. West Brom 

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, number-crunchers and presenters.

Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6) and the Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictive models.

Dec 8, 2017

MW16 PLBR Podcast is loaded with stats, ratings and evaluations We show you three value plays on the MW16 podcast plus power ratings and model reports and results.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSI ratings and projections. He also analyzes the five-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games:

West Ham v. Chelsea 

Swansea City v. West Brom

Newcastle v. Leicester City

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, number-crunchers and presenters.

Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6) and the Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictive models.

Also- EPL teams with the best ROI and overvalued and undervalued teams based on their odds and Squawka scores

Dec 2, 2017

MW15 PLBR Podcast is loaded with stats, ratings and evaluations We show you three value plays on the MW15 podcast plus power ratings and model reports and results.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSI ratings and projections. He also analyzes the five-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games:

Arsenal v. Man United 

Watford v. Tottenham

West Brom v. Crystal Palace

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, number-crunchers and presenters.

Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6) and the Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictive models.

Also- EPL teams with the best ROI and overvalued and undervalued teams based on their odds and Squawka scores.

Nov 28, 2017

Quick turn-around to MW14 but PLBR gets it done for you. We got three value plays on the MW14 podcast plus power ratings and model reports.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSI ratings and projections. He also analyzes the five-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games:

Brighton & Hove v. Crystal Palace

Manchester City v. Southampton

Stoke v. Liverpool

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, number-crunchers and presenters.

Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6) and the Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictive models.

Nov 23, 2017

This edition of the Premier League Betting Report will give you in depth information and ideas to help you win when playing the English Premier League Betting card for Matchweek 13.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSI ratings and projections. He also analyzes the five-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games:

Manchester United v. Brighton and Hove

Burnley v. Arsenal

Huddersfield v. Manchester City

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, number-crunchers and presenters.

Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6) and the Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictive models.

Also, we review the overrated and underrated teams from a betting standpoint. We also give you a team by team look at betting return for the 2017-18 season.

Nov 13, 2017

This edition of the Premier League Betting Report will give you in depth information and ideas to help you win when playing the English Premier League Betting card for Matchweek 12.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSI ratings and projections. He also analyzes the five-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games.

Arsenal v. Tottenham

Burnley v. Swansea City

Leicester City v. Manchester City

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, number-crunchers and presenters.

Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6) and the Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictive models.

Also, we review the overrated and underrated teams from a betting standpoint. We also give you a team by team look at betting return for the 2017-18 season.

 

Nov 3, 2017

ESP for the EPL will give you in depth information and ideas to help you win when playing the English Premier League Betting card.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSI ratings and projections. He also analyzes the five-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games.

Swansea City v. Brighton and Hove

West Ham United v. Liverpool

Manchester City v. Arsenal

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, crunchers and presenters. Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6), Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictions.

English Premier League Betting Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in this quick and informative EPL video pod.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for English Premier League LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form and have the best betting value.

www.ClearDataSports.com

Oct 26, 2017

ESP for the EPL will give you in depth information and ideas to help you win when playing the English Premier League Betting card.

Basewinner looks at the in-house CDSA ratings and projections. He also analyzes the five-model comparison to show you where the betting value is for the following games.

Manchester United v. Tottenham

Bournemouth v. Chelsea

Burnley v. Newcastle

The models we look at in this podcast are from well respected data accumulators, crunchers and presenters. Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6), Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictions.

English Premier League Betting Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in this quick and informative EPL video pod.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for English Premier League LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form and have the best betting value.

www.ClearDataSports.com

Oct 20, 2017

ESP for the EPL will give you in depth information and ideas to help you win when playing the English Premier League Betting card.

Basewinner rolls out a five-model comparison and looks at the following Matchweek 9 EPL games to show you where the betting value is:

West Ham v. Brighton & Hove

Southampton v. Newcastle

Tottenham v. Liverpool

The models we look at in this are from well respected data accumulators, crunchers and presenters. Included is a highly studied last 6 goal differential module (G6), Bing, Five Thirty Eight and Bet Devil predictions.

English Premier League Betting Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in this quick and informative EPL video pod.

The MW9 card is challenging, but Basewinner pulls out all the stops to get you to victory as he explores various betting numbers, angles and ideas for this week's betting card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for English Premier League LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form and have the best betting value.

As always on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League betting market.  Bonus coverage includes a look at EPL team salaries.

www.ClearDataSports.com

Oct 13, 2017

The free podcast features three games for the Matchweek 8 English Premier League Betting card.

Basewinner looks at the following EPL games to show you where the betting value is.

Liverpool v. Manchester United

Tottenham v. AFC Bournemouth

Southampton v. Newcastle

English Premier League Betting Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are all include in this quick and informative EPL video pod. Basewinner is optimistic for week 8 as he explores various betting numbers, angles and ideas for this week's betting card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for English Premier League LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form and have the best betting value.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League betting market.

www.ClearDataSports.com

Sep 29, 2017

The free podcast features four games for the Matchweek 7 English Premier League Betting card.

Basewinner looks at the following EPL games to show you where the betting value is.

Huddersfield v. Tottenham

Newcastle United v. Liverpool

Stoke City v. Swansea 

English Premier League Betting Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 7 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the EPL betting modules, angles and ideas for this week's betting card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for English Premier League  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form and have the best betting value.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League betting market.

www.ClearDataSports.com

 

May 20, 2017

The MW38 free podcast features four games on the final 2017 EPL card. We look to stay podcast hot after a 2-1 MW37 podcast and a Sunderland +715 winner in MW36.

An official play is reviewed and three games are looked at from the “all games” section, which is now +27.4 units YTD after picking up 6 more units from a 7-0 “all games” weekend last week.

The four games looked at this week are Arsenal v. Everton, Chelsea v. Sunderland, Man U v. Crystal Palace and Swansea City v. West Brom.

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 38 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for this week’s EPL Card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 38. 

www.ClearDataSports.com

May 12, 2017

The MW37 free podcast features three key games on the EPL card as we look to stay podcast hot.

An official play is reviewed and two games are looked at from the “all games” section, which is now +21.3 units YTD. This success is in part to the big winner with Sunderland +715 that we gave out on last weeks podcast.

The three games looked at this week are West Brom v. Chelsea, Sunderland v. Swansea City and Tottenham v. Man United. 

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 36 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for this week’s EPL Card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 36. 

www.ClearDataSports.com

May 5, 2017

We look to keep up with our 2-1 Matchweek 35 results as the MW36 free podcast features three key games on the EPL card. An official play is reviewed and two games are looked at from the “all games” section, which is +13.5 units YTD.

The three games looked at are Bournemouth v. Stoke, Hull City v. Sunderland and Aresnal v. Man United. 

Also, an interesting late round strategy regarding large underdogs is shown.

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 36 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for this week’s EPL Card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 36. 

www.ClearDataSports.com

Apr 28, 2017

The Matchweek 35 free podcast features three key games on the EPL card including two official plays. The three games looked at are Tottenham v. Arsenal, Watford v. Liverpool and Sunderland v. Bournemouth. 

Also, an interesting late round strategy pertaining to draws is explained.

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 35 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for this week’s EPL Card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 35. 

www.ClearDataSports.com 

Apr 21, 2017

Of a nice 2-1 performance for Matchweek 33, the MW 34 free podcast features the three games on the card and you will get to see a variety of handicapping by the Basewinner on this one and some big prices.  

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 34 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for key games on this week's EPL Card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

   

Apr 14, 2017

The Matchweek 33 free podcast features the three key games on the EPL card, including an official play. The first two games looked at are Everton v. Leicester City and Sunderland v. West Ham. The big game of the week, Manchester United v. Chelsea is also dissected CDSA style and includes an official play.

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 33 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for this week’s EPL Card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 33. 

www.ClearDataSports.com 

Apr 7, 2017

The Matchweek 32 free podcast features the three key games on the EPL card including an official play. As usual, you will get to see a variety of technical handicapping by the Basewinner on the EPL podcast.  

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 32 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for this week’s EPL Card.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 32. 

As a bonus, Basewinner takes a look at the EPL models and handicapping performance to date and uncovers some very interesting and promising underlying metrics for this CDSA product.

www.ClearDataSports.com 

Mar 31, 2017

The Round 30 free podcast features the first three games on the card and you will get to see a variety of handicapping by the Basewinner on this one.  

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 30 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores the betting modules, angles and ideas for this week’s top of EPL Card.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 30.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Mar 17, 2017

Round 29 is loaded with 5 official plays and some crafty handicapping by the Basewinner.  We have one of the five official plays on the free podcast. We look to keep the momentum going from Matchweek 28  as we go into detail with advanced technical and fundamental betting statistics and ratings. 

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 29 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores many betting angles and ideas for this week’s bountiful EPL Card.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 29.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

Mar 10, 2017

Round 28 has started out well with a Man City/Stoke draw at +628 and we look to get some more as the betting podcast goes into detail with our advanced technical and fundamental betting statistics and ratings. 

English Premier League Power Ratings, Form Charts and Similar Historical Game Analysis are abundant in the Matchweek 28 ESP for the EPL podcast and Basewinner explores many betting angles and ideas for this week’s challenging EPL card.

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 28.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for 3 time categories.  LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form.

 

Mar 3, 2017

The Round 27 betting podcast goes into detail with advanced technical and fundamental betting statistics and ratings to help you with your betting endeavors for these EPL matches.  

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 27.

Each team’s 2016/2017 average game odds are compared with the respective teams L6 Squawka scores (collected from EPL Matchweek 7 to EPL Matchweek 26). The comparison is helped with assistance from IBM's Watson.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form. Many betting angles and ideas are explored on this week’s challenging EPL card.

Feb 24, 2017

After knocking down 5 of 7 over last two week’s free podcasts, the Basewinner looks to beat the odds for Matchweek 26 with the help of the Squawka scaled numbers. These numbers and help from the CDSA SMARTCUTTER will help to uncover value on the English Premier League Matchweek 26 card.

The Round 26 betting podcast looks at three English Premier League match-ups for the upcoming weekend. Chelsea v. Swansea City, Crystal Palace v. Middlesbrough and Everton v. Sunderland are showcased.

Basewinner goes into detail with advanced technical and fundamental betting statistics and ratings to help you with your betting endeavors for these EPL matches.  

Also on this episode, the most over-valued and under-valued teams this year in the English Premier League for odds and performance numbers for Matchweek 26.

Each team’s 2016/2017 average game odds are compared with the respective teams L6 Squawka scores (collected from EPL Matchweek 7 to EPL Matchweek 25). The comparison is helped with assistance from IBM's Watson.

The Clear Data Sports team has also scaled the Squawka ratings for Total, Possession, Attack and Defense for LTO, the last six games and Year-To-Date so you can identify the English Premier League teams that are in the best current and YTD form. Many betting angles and ideas are explored on this week’s challenging EPL card.

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