BaseWinner goes over expected goal modeling techniques and gives you three official plays for EPL MW23 on this podcast.
He also has some tidy side opinions and reveals a new chart that will help you in your value betting endeavors.
The big game of the weekend in the Premier League is the Liverpool v. Man City clash and BW shows you what the the models take is on this game.
With help of expected goals and pass completion inside of 20 yards Crunch modeling, several nice spots by the numbers are identified on the card.
BW is high on the tweaks to the model and there are some underlying stats are revealing.
A first on the MW23 podcast is the YTD expected goals to market chart that identifies teams of value for 3 way betting as well as for under betting.